Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.276368 0.321171 0.372626 0.436475 0.514097 0.606070 0.724286
2025-08-24 0.205373 0.261211 0.332930 0.433409 0.573167 0.764703 1.054304
2025-08-31 0.164358 0.222369 0.302923 0.426142 0.615787 0.907165 1.411057
2025-09-07 0.142480 0.202535 0.291372 0.437589 0.683108 1.100789 1.919423
2025-09-14 0.122324 0.180581 0.271082 0.428928 0.713397 1.240435 2.392438
2025-09-21 0.109360 0.166991 0.260563 0.432705 0.764284 1.431409 3.058209
2025-09-28 0.098254 0.154423 0.249157 0.431773 0.805085 1.615195 3.807208
2025-10-05 0.091324 0.147638 0.246245 0.445438 0.878145 1.894561 4.973713
2025-10-12 0.084942 0.140814 0.241999 0.455306 0.945578 2.187458 6.394147
2025-10-19 0.079262 0.134434 0.237482 0.463493 1.011426 2.504519 8.162681
2025-10-26 0.074994 0.130065 0.236087 0.477984 1.097005 2.916650 10.699625
2025-11-02 0.070223 0.124139 0.230685 0.482293 1.157798 3.284957 13.484417
2025-11-09 0.065530 0.117946 0.224126 0.483289 1.212334 3.670865 16.937441
2025-11-16 0.060959 0.111518 0.216265 0.479799 1.254087 4.041027 20.943092
2025-11-23 0.056543 0.104934 0.207204 0.471575 1.279535 4.368271 25.322552
2025-11-30 0.054116 0.102191 0.206290 0.484523 1.377745 5.065503 34.112936
2025-12-07 0.050411 0.096367 0.197604 0.474724 1.396685 5.426243 41.049085
2025-12-14 0.047945 0.092966 0.194149 0.478997 1.467764 6.098811 53.481387
2025-12-21 0.045391 0.089121 0.189164 0.477943 1.519595 6.720321 68.011946
2025-12-28 0.043948 0.087604 0.189652 0.493407 1.642652 7.866677 96.526797
2026-01-04 0.042376 0.085639 0.188776 0.504583 1.753974 9.069272 135.464116
2026-01-11 0.040819 0.083564 0.187364 0.513859 1.862291 10.389456 190.820534
2026-01-18 0.039677 0.082347 0.188040 0.530289 2.012038 12.230620 288.265724